Results tagged ‘ fantasy baseball ’
Finding balance
Here’s a bit of advice for the next time you find yourself in a fantasy baseball draft.
Is your fantasy turning into a nightmare?
If your fantasy baseball experience has gone anything like mine, you’ve found yourself with a few players quickly arriving on the disabled list, and struggling to find a quality replacement. Fear not! I’m going to provide you with five pitchers and five hitters who are worth picking up, and don’t have a home in most leagues (10% or less owned in Yahoo! fantasy baseball leagues).
First, the hitters.
1. David Murphy-Texas Rangers (OF): With Hamilton being the everyday center fielder, Murphy should get the bulk of the starts in left field against right-handed pitchers. He’ll hit around .280 with 10 home runs this year, and isn’t a bad option if you’re looking for depth. Don’t forget that he plays for a team that puts up a lot of runs, so that should bode well if your league awards points for runs and RBIs.
2. Juan Pierre-Philadelphia Phillies (OF): A lot of people probably won’t agree with me, but I truly believe Pierre is going to get more than ample playing time in Philadelphia. No, Pierre will not hit you any home runs, but he puts the ball in play, gets on base and still has enough speed that he can easily steal you 20 bases this year. If your league tracks on base percentage, then you could find extra value from his .345 career OBP percentage.
3. Scott Rolen-Cincinnati Reds (3B): This could very well be the farewell tour for Rolen, and despite having health concerns in 2011, he should work as an adequate backup third baseman in most leagues. If he comes out of the gate looking like the Scott Rolen of last year, you can always drop him. However, there’s a chance that he might look like the Rolen of 2010, and the risk of that is definitely worth the reward.
4. Chone Figgins-Seattle Mariners (3B): Figgins is an interesting selection, and that’s because people are curious how much he can still contribute. If 2011 was any indication, his playing days could be coming to an end. You can call me a skeptic, though. The Mariners are giving a shot as their leadoff hitter, and I think you’re going to see him make quite a comeback this year. Throughout his career, Figgins always has excelled at finding a way to get to first, and then promptly stealing second. Some leagues are also giving Figgins eligibility at multiple positions, which is a huge advantage for fantasy baseball managers.
5. Jack Hannahan-Cleveland Indians (3B): Hannahan inherited the job of starting third baseman due to the recent struggles of Lonnie Chisenhall. A lot of people think Chisenhall will win the job back sooner rather than later, but if you’re in need of an everyday third baseman, then this is your guy. Don’t expect any monster numbers, but a guy with pretty average offensive statistics across the board.
And now the pitchers.
1. Fernando Rodney-Tampa Bay Rays (RP): Rodney is an intriguing pick, because he may very well find himself to be the short-term closer in Tampa Bay until Kyle Farnsworth comes back from the DL. Rodney has closing experience, having served as a closer for both Detroit and Anaheim in the past, so you might find a guy that is closing games for a contender. Not bad for a guy that is only owned in four percent of leagues according to Yahoo!
2. Jeremy Guthrie-Colorado Rockies (SP): A lot of people are scared by the fact that Guthrie lost 17 games in 2011, but for the most part, it wasn’t his fault. Guthrie is a proven guy who eats innings, and has an above-average repertoire. There’s a reason why the Rockies traded for him and named him their opening day starter this year.
3. Jeff Karstens-Pittsburgh Pirates (SP): If you don’t watch or follow much baseball, you’re probably not familiar with Karstens. I can’t say I blame you much, because he plays for the Pittsburgh Pirates, who tend to not get a lot of national exposure. Last year Karstens went 9-9 for the Pirates, with an ERA of 3.38. Not bad for a guy that you probably never heard of until now. I’m not necessarily confident he’ll be able to repeat those numbers, but he’s definitely not a bad option to add if your team is desperately in need of pitchers.
4. Jon Rauch-New York Mets (RP): I like Rauch simply because of the fact that his stuff has always been better than what his numbers have shown. He has plenty of experience, being in the league since 2002, and he’s young enough (33) that he could have a few good years left in his arm. The downside of having Rauch is the fact that he’s not a closer, so you’re only counting on him to get you holds and strikeouts. Still, he’s not a bad option if you’re looking to replace a non-closing reliever on your team.
5. Kyle Drabek-Toronto Blue Jays (SP): Drabek was a 1st round draft pick in 2006, and finally got a chance to spend the majority of last year on Toronto’s roster, starting 14 games for the Blue Jays. Although his ERA was quite inflated (6.06), I’m expecting a good rebound from Drabek. I got a chance to watch him pitch against the Tigers last year, and he looked very impressive. The biggest thing that got Drabek in trouble was his command, so if he can keep his walks down in 2012, he should be okay.
So there it is, my list of free agents who should be eagerly waiting your call. They might not be All Stars, but you never know, you might find a diamond in the rough.
Breaking it down: Final draft of 2012
As I’ve done with all of my other fantasy baseball drafts, I’m going to give you a round by round breakdown of it. Hopefully this can help you prepare in case you haven’t had your draft yet. This was for an eight person, head to head league. It’s important to realize that the less people are playing, the average roster will be significantly better in comparison to a 12 team league. Also, I just wanted to mention if you ever have any fantasy baseball questions for me during the season, feel free to comment on one of my blogs, or send me a tweet @brjeffers13 and I’ll do my best to help you. If I think it’s a good enough question, I’ll even write a blog with more in depth analysis.
Round 1 (3rd overall): Jose Bautista-After Miguel Cabrera and Matt Kemp were off the board, I decided to take Bautista instead of Albert Pujols, who is ranked third in most pre-draft rankings. Some reasons for this include the fact that Bautista is eligible at multiple positions, giving me depth at both third base, as well as the outfield. His 2011 numbers pretty much exceeded those of Pujols, plus you’re going to get more stolen bases. I’m not sure that Bautista will duplicate the numbers he put up last year, but I highly doubt there will be a significant drop off.
Round 2 (14th overall): Adrian Gonzalez-It’s hard to not love Gonzalez, as he’s been a consistently dominant hitter for many years, and he’s playing in a very hitter-friendly ballpark in Boston. I’ll gladly take a guy who will hit around .300 with 30 home runs, and 100 RBIs in the second round, and you should, too.
Round 3 (19th overall): Dustin Pedroia-I consider Pedroia the second best offensive second baseman behind Robinson Cano, and at a position where there’s not exactly a whole lot of big talent around the league, I wanted to get a well above average second baseman while there was still one on the board. Some people would say you should draft a quality starting pitcher with this pick, but I don’t feel that was necessary with it being a league with only eight teams.
Round 4 (30th overall): Cole Hamels-Definitely an interesting pick on my part, but you can consider me a fan of Hamels. With Kershaw, Verlander, Lee and Halladay already off the board, I wanted to make sure I was able to get a proven starting pitcher. Even though not everyone agrees with it, I love taking solid players in a contract year, as they always have a little extra incentive to perform.
Round 5 (35th overall): Jered Weaver-There’s really no reason to suspect that Weaver won’t have another strong year in 2012, and with the improved offense behind him, he should be able to be a bit more comfortable on the mound. I thought this was one of the easiest picks I made in the draft, as I almost selected him a round earlier.
Round 6 (46th overall): Hunter Pence-Some people are still not sold on the fact that Pence is an All-Star outfielder, and I don’t get it. In the last three years, Pence is hitting .292 while averaging about 24 home runs a year. Don’t forget that he’s also likely to steal you a about 10 bases or so a year, and those add up through the course of a year.
Round 7 (51st overall): Mike Napoli-Another person that I love because of him being eligible at both catcher and first base. There’s a quick drop off amongst most catchers in Major League Baseball, so I love being able to get a guy that should be amongst the best in the league. I plan on using him primarily as a catcher, except on days that Adrian Gonzalez has off, then I can shift him to first base to fill the void.
Round 8 (62nd overall): Ben Zobrist-I have a feeling that I’m either going to love or hate this pick. I went with a guy who hits for a decent average, has speed, and plays multiple positions. Hopefully he can hit about .275 this year with 20 home runs, 15 stolen bases and keep his slugging percentage around the .435 it’s been in his career. If he does, then I got a ton of value from this pick.
Round 9 (67th overall): Stephen Strasburg-Simply put, if Strasburg is healthy, he should’ve been picked about five rounds earlier. I played the risk vs. reward card here, and I’m hoping it’ll pay dividends.
Round 10 (78th overall): Desmond Jennings-Although I have absolutely no clue what kind of average Jennings will have in 2012, I expect him to steal a ton of bases and hit around 15 home runs for Tampa Bay this year. I’ve noticed that a lot of people don’t pay attention to stolen bases in fantasy baseball, so there’s always value in picking up a speedster or two, as it’ll likely be enough to win the stolen base category in most leagues.
Round 11 (83rd overall): James Shields-“Big Game” James seems to be consistent every year, and still manages to stay off the radar each year. Hopefully Shields can prove that 2011 wasn’t a fluke, when he won 16 games with a 2.82 ERA, while striking out 225 hitters along the way.
Round 12 (84th overall): J.J. Putz-Besides the fact I met and interviewed Putz a month ago (you can watch the interview HERE), Putz proved he is without a doubt one of the most dominant closers in baseball. Playing for the Diamondbacks should give him plenty of save opportunities, and I don’t see him blowing too many of them.
Round 13 (99th overall): Jimmy Rollins-This is one of the picks I think I might regret a bit, but I’m okay with in the grand scheme of things. In case you haven’t noticed, there’s not exactly a ton of quality shortstops in MLB, so I thought I’d take a guy with speed and plenty of offensive upside. I knew the shortstop I wanted to take would likely be available in the later rounds, so I didn’t need to waste a pick in taking him here. If I wasn’t able to get him, I’d at least have a shortstop that wouldn’t hurt my team.
Round 14 (110th overall): Lance Berkman-First and foremost, I do not think Berkman is likely to repeat the numbers he put up in 2011, but I do expect him to hit at least .270 with 20 home runs. For a guy who I can put in my lineup as either an outfielder or first baseman, I’ll take it.
Round 15 (115th overall): Andrew Bailey-Let’s face it, the guy is going to be a closer for the Boston Red Sox. That means he’s going to get plenty of save opportunities, and at this point in the draft, there wasn’t too many other options that I could say the same thing about.
Round 16 (126th overall): Carlos Beltran-I love how Beltran fits in with the St. Louis offense, and expect him to have a solid year at the plate. If he can stay healthy, there’s no reason why he won’t hit .285 with 20 home runs, and have a slugging percentage around .500. Again, this was a risk vs. reward selection, and I think there is enough value in Beltran to make it completely justifiable.
Round 17 (131st overall): Josh Beckett-Now that there’s no more beer in the clubhouse, there should be no distractions for Boston’s starting rotation. With that being said, I expect Beckett to quiet critics and have a solid 2012 season. It’s not common that your 17th round pick will win you 15 games and have an ERA around 3.00, but that’s exactly what Beckett should do this year.
Round 18 (142nd overall): Max Scherzer-In 2011, Scherzer was 15th in the American League in strikeouts, and had an elevated ERA due to a few bad outings. I expect Scherzer to find his true form in 2012, and with Detroit’s revamped offense behind him, he should be able to win at least 15 games.
Round 19 (147th overall): Delmon Young-After coming to Detroit late in 2011, Young was an absolute hitting machine. With Brennan Boesch (hitting second), Miguel Cabrera (third), and Prince Fielder (fourth) hitting in front of Young, there’s no reason why he shouldn’t be able to get an opportunity to have a career high in RBIs this year.
Round 20 (158th overall): Jhonny Peralta-I wish I had an answer as to why Peralta is ranked so low in most fantasy leagues, but he’s a proven hitter in a stacked lineup. I was hoping he would be available in the later rounds, and sure enough, he was. This is an absolute steal as far as I’m concerned.
Round 21 (163rd overall): Yadier Molina-Simply put, he was the best catcher available at this point in the draft. I’m a huge fan of having two people who can play each position (if possible, and without passing up a significantly better player at another position at the same time), so I wanted to make sure I had at least two catchers on my roster. I don’t expect Molina to hit over .300 like he did last year, but he’s a good enough hitter that he could be a starting catcher in most fantasy leagues.
Round 22 (174th overall): Rick Porcello-I may have performed a big fantasy baseball no-no here, but I took someone because of my home-team bias. Don’t get me wrong, I like Porcello quite a bit, I just don’t think he was the best available starting pitcher on the board. I could see Porcello winning 14 games with an ERA slightly above 4.00, and that’s fine with me.
Round 23 (179th overall): Ervin Santana-I think everyone gave up on the draft, because I’m not sure how Santana was still available at this point. If he pitches anything like he did last year in 2012, I’d expect him to easily rack up 16 wins for the Angels.
This or That Fantasy Baseball
I just wanted to give a final reminder to all of those who expressed interest in the fantasy baseball league I created this year. It’s simple, easy, requires nothing once the season begins, and best of all…it’s free!
The whole concept behind This or That Fantasy Baseball is trying to do your best to make various predictions on how the season will unfold. This includes statistics such as batting averages, ERAs and wins. There are also questions that will test your ability to determine who will make it to the playoffs, and who will not.
It is 100% free to join, no strings attached. If you’re interested, simply send me an e-mail to thisorthatbaseball@gmail.com and I will send you the official questionnaire. The winner of the league (assuming you can beat me) will receive a prize of some sort (could be a pair of tickets to the see your favorite team next year, or a free shirt. The more people who join, the better the prize will be). In order to qualify for contest, I do need to get your list submitted to me before the first pitch on opening day, which is this Wednesday morning at 6:10 AM EST.
If you have any questions, feel free to e-mail me at the above e-mail, or send me a tweet @brjeffers13. Thanks again, and best of luck!
Votto, you got to go
I always try to treat my fantasy baseball teams similarly to how I would if I was a general manager for a baseball team. Of course, that doesn’t include payroll, staffing, corporate sponsorships, ticket sales, promotions…well, you get the idea.
What I can do however, is find ways to improve my team. So when I lost one of my two closers for the year (Ryan Madson), I immediately tried to find a replacement. Unfortunately, free agency left me only with Jonathon Broxton as a somewhat viable option. My next idea was to find a trade to bolster my roster.
When I looked at my team, I noticed that I have a very dominant pitching core. My biggest weakness is going to be home runs, and slugging percentage, and I’m okay with that. When playing a head to head league, I always suggest trying to build your team to be dominant in at least half the categories, while giving yourself a chance to win a few of the others.
Ultimately, I was offered a trade of David Price and Billy Butler for Joey Votto. After a bit of deliberation, I decided it was definitely going to make my team better in the long run. There’s no doubt that I’m losing a bit of value at first base, but a lot of people aren’t aware of how good Billy Butler is, and will be for quite a while. Throw in the fact I got a dominant starting pitcher in Price, I felt like there was no way I could turn this offer down.
Sure, Butler probably won’t hit as many home runs, or have as many RBIs as Votto, but the falloff isn’t that significant. I was already convinced my roster wasn’t going to be dominant in those categories, which I still will be competitive in, especially since no player on my team hit less than 10 home runs (David Freese in 333 at bats) last year.
I even did some number crunching, and if swap Votto’s offensive numbers with that of Billy Butler (and using all the 2011 statistics of all 14 of my position players), it comes out to: .282 batting average, 72 runs, 19 home runs, and 71 RBIs. If I can get a similar offensive production from all the players in 2012, I’ll consider myself to be in fine shape. Not to mention the fact having pitchers that include: Roy Halladay, Doug Fister, Rick Porcello, David Price, Max Scherzer, Tim Hudson and Jose Valverde certainly won’t hurt much, either.
Sorry Votto, but you got to go.
Getting Max for the minimum
If you’re looking for a starting pitcher in fantasy baseball that might not cost you a lot in return (not to mention I’ve noticed he’s been available a lot later than he should be in most drafts), then I’d like to suggest you take a look at Max Scherzer.
First of all, yes, I’ve taken my hometown bias out of this. Scherzer will likely be the number three pitcher in the Tigers rotation, and he appears to be poised for having a strong 2012. If today’s outing against the Yankees means anything (insert quote about Spring Training stats don’t matter here), it shows that he’s found the form necessary to be successful.
It’s no secret that Scherzer struggled a bit mechanically in the past, and got sent down to Toledo because of that in 2010. Those seems to more or less be problems of the past, as was evidenced by his numbers in 2011. Scherzer went 15-9, racking up 174 strikeouts and a slightly elevated ERA at 4.43. I can say with a great deal of confidence that Scherzer’s ERA should drop by about a half a run this year, and the strikeout numbers should be pretty similar.
Most fantasy baseball leagues count strikeouts as a category, and that makes Scherzer a great asset. Not only do you get a guy who was 15th in the American League in K’s last year, but you get a guy who is playing for a team that many expect to run away with the AL Central, and that should give you plenty of wins, too.
If I were you, I’d put my money on “Mad Max” in 2012.
Breaking it down: Fantasy baseball auction draft
Earlier today, I completed my first ever fantasy baseball auction draft for a 12 team head to head league. I heavily suggest you and your friends giving it a try sometime, as it adds a fun and competitive dynamic not found in a traditional draft. The concept is quite simple, even for first time participants. You start out with a certain amount of “dollars” to spend on your team (for us, it was 260 dollars). Instead of going in order to draft players, you rotate nominating players, in which all teams have the option of bidding on said player. The catch is you must be able to bid at least one dollar on every single player, and you cannot spend over your bankroll on your entire draft. This creates a challenge when you big top dollar on players early in the draft, but find yourself too low on funds to bid on players in the later rounds.
Here’s my team, and how much I bid on each player.
Catcher: Alex Avila-$13
First baseman: Joey Votto-$47
Second baseman: Ryan Raburn-$1
Shortstop: J.J. Hardy-$6
Third baseman: Placido Polanco-$5
Outfield: Curtis Granderson-$32
Outfield: Brennan Boesch-$7
Outfield: Drew Stubbs-$7
Utility: Corey Hart-$7
Utility: Carlos Beltran-$5
Bench: Jhonny Peralta-$1
Bench: Yadier Molina-$3
Bench: David Freese-$4
Bench: Neil Walker-$3
Starting pitcher: Roy Halladay-$42
Starting pitcher: Doug Fister-$15
Relief pitcher: Jose Valverde-$14
Relief pitcher: Phil Coke-$3
Pitcher: Rick Porcello-$6
Pitcher: Mat Latos-$12
Pitcher: Ryan Madson-$6
Bench: Max Scherzer-$4
Bench: Tim Hudson-$2
Overall, I really feel like my team is very solid all around, with enough star players to make a difference. My strategy going into the draft was to not spend more than 20 percent of my budget on any one player, and to not have more than three people combine to cost more than 60 percent of salary cap. I was able to get my three most expensive players for 46.5% of my budget. By doing this, I had plenty of money available in the later parts of the auction to outbid people who spent foolishly early on. If you do find yourself in an auction draft, I suggest using a similar strategy, as I thought it worked quite well.
Breaking it down: Fantasy baseball draft number one
So yesterday I had my first fantasy baseball draft of the year. Today, I’m going to break down the rationale behind all my selections, and try to give you a little incite as to what I think you should do if you find yourself doing a fantasy baseball draft without a strategy. The draft was for a 25 man roster, so be warned that this entry will be longer than usual.
For the record, this was for a ten person, rotisserie scoring league.
1st round (5th pick): Jose Bautista- “Joey Bats” has been an absolute monster the last two years, and has proven to not just be a one-season wonder. A nice added value in Bautista is the fact that most leagues have him listed at multiple positions, which makes him a well above average third baseman, and a solid outfielder, too.
2nd round (16th overall): Prince Fielder- Most fantasy experts have Fielder ranked in the top 20, so I thought it was an okay selection with the 16th pick. I do not believe this pick has anywhere near the top value, but there’s no reason to expect that Fielder won’t be a top-five offensive first baseman for the Tigers. A bigger home field should limit his home run numbers a bit, but Comerica is quite forgiving for left-handed power hitters. Look at Fielder to hit doubles in the right-centerfield gap all year long.
3rd round (25th overall): Jered Weaver- With Verlander, Kershaw and Halladay all off the board, I thought it was necessary to get myself an ace for my team before the options got too thin. The Angels should be significantly improved this year, so if Weaver can have an average year for his standards, expect his wins to be up a bit compared to 2011.
4th round (36th overall): Mike Napoli- I admit this was one of the tougher selections I made in the draft, but there’s so few quality offensive catchers, that I felt like it gave me a chance to secure an edge in comparison to other teams from that position. I expect most of Napoli’s number’s to go down a bit, but he should be much more productive at the plate in comparison to the majority of catchers in baseball.
5th round (45th overall): David Price- I’d categorize this as one of the many steals I had in the draft. Price should be dominant once again in Tampa, and to pick him at 45th in the draft is slightly below where he was projected in most leagues to get picked. I wasn’t necessarily looking to add a starting pitcher with this pick, but didn’t know how to pass Price up.
6th round (56th overall): Brandon Phillips- Besides being a twit-a-holic, Phillips has been one of the most consistent second baseman the last few years. Take into consideration that he’s also in a contract year, and expected to sign quite a large deal, I don’t think it’s hard to envision him putting up solid numbers in 2012. It’s hard to not consider him a top five second baseman, so there’s excellent value in him at this point in any draft.
7th round (65th overall): Dee Gordon- I’d imagine that this is a name that not a lot of recreational baseball fans are familiar with, but you might want to capitalize on that. In just 56 games with the Dodgers in 2011, Gordon hit .306 with 24 stolen bases. If you’re in a league that counts stolen bases, Gordon may very well steal more bases than any other shortstop in baseball. Don’t expect him to hit over .300 for the season, but don’t let that be a deterrent.
8th round (76th overall): Carl Crawford- There’s a lot of fair-weather fans that think Crawford is going to be a complete bust again, but I just don’t think I can agree. Sure, Crawford should not be drafted in the top five rounds, but picking him up in the eight round has tremendous value. Due to an injury, Crawford will likely miss the first two weeks of the season, but I think he’s going to prove to baseball that he’s back to his usual self in 2012.
9th round (85th overall): Ichiro Suzuki- 2011 was not a good year for Ichiro, who put up a career low .272 batting average for Seattle. A lot of people in baseball believe that Ichrio’s career is far from over, and his talent level would certainly support that claim. Despite being 37 years old, Ichiro did still manage to steal 40 bases. There’s no reason why you shouldn’t think that Ichiro will get his batting average up to .300 and steal at least 35 bases this year.
10th round (96th overall): Michael Young- If you’re willing to pass up a guy who seems to get 200 hits every year, and is a lifetime .304 hitter in the tenth round, you should really just let your computer autodraft for you.
11th round (105th overall): Jose Valverde- Even as a Tigers fan, I don’t expect Valverde to go 49 for 49 again in save opportunities. With that being said, I do expect him to get plenty of saves for a team that should be able to easily win 90 or more games. I thought this was about the right time to start drafting a few relief pitchers, since they’re aren’t that many true quality relievers. I always prefer to get closers when drafting relief pitchers, and you should, too.
12th round (116th overall): Brennan Boesch- I know there’s going to be a lot of people who think this was an absurd pick in the 12th round, but I respectfully disagree for one main reason. When Boesch comes up to bat this year, take a look at who is on deck, and who is in the hole. No pitcher is going to want to walk Boesch to face Cabrera and Fielder with a runner on base, and I truly think he’ll be able to benefit greatly from it.
13th round (125th overall): Josh Johnson- I definitely gambled a bit on this one, but a healthy Josh Johnson is a dominant pitcher for what should be a very competitive team in Miami. I think the risk vs. reward definitely helps make this pick a pretty easy one.
14th round (136th overall): Doug Fister- “Mister” Fister will likely not be able to duplicate what he did after getting traded to Detroit last year, but odds are he will be a quality number two pitcher for a team that should win 90 games. You can never get enough wins from your starting pitchers in fantasy baseball, so there’s always extra value in drafting starting pitching from teams that are likely going to make it to the playoffs.
15th round (145th overall): Heath Bell- If your fantasy team awarded points to pitchers who can slide, Bell would be a first round pick. With that being said, he’s definitely a top-tier closer, and I was quite shocked that he was still on the board this late in the draft. Again, I like to draft pitchers from winning teams, and from everything I’ve seen and read, Bell seems like an easy guy to cheer for.
16th round (156th overall): Ryan Roberts- Truthfully, I’m not sure what to expect from this pick. I liked the fact that he is listed at multiple positions in my league, and he seemed like a cool guy from my brief interactions with him in Arizona. If he can hit 20 home runs and steal 20 bases for Arizona this year (which he could very well do), then I got excellent value for a late-round pick.
17th round (165th overall): Kyle Farnsworth- A bit of a wildcard for me, since he seems to always go up and down throughout his career. His raw stuff is amongst the best in baseball, and he should get plenty of save opportunities for Tampa Bay this year.
18th round (176th overall): Yadier Molina- It’s too bad that defensive abilities don’t count in fantasy baseball, since Molina is without a doubt one of the best catchers in Major League Baseball. His offensive numbers aren’t terrible, which makes him a quality backup in most fantasy leagues.
19th round (185th overall): Ryan Raburn- Despite not being an everyday player for the Tigers, Raburn should get enough playing time between second base and the outfield to hit 15 home runs and drive in 60 runs. It’s hard to ask for much more than that from a bench player in any league.
20th round (196th overall): Jesus Montero- No clue how he fell this far in the draft, but I like having a guy on my team who may very well end up winning the Rookie of the Year award in the American League on my team. Getting him in the 20th round is an absolute bargain for a guy who is going to be a quality hitter for many years to come.
21st round (205th overall): Emilio Bonifacio- In 2011, Bonifacio hit .296 and stole 40 bases. I’d imagine that both of those numbers are very likely to go down in 2012, but he definitely gives you great value and depth as a bench player.
22nd round (216th overall): Delmon Young- Delmon does one thing well, and that’s hit. I’m expecting him to get an opportunity to drive in 100 years for Detroit this year, and being a contract year for him, one would think he’s going to do everything he can to showcase himself and prove he’s worth signing to a multi-year contract. I’d imagine you don’t normally see a guy who will drive in 80 or more runs after the 20th round, so take advantage if you can.
23rd round (225th overall): David Robertson- As much as I hate rooting for the Yankees, Robertson proved to be one of the best relievers in 2011. Take into consideration that he would likely be Mariano Rivera’s replacement if he gets injured, and this was an absolute no doubt pick.
24th round (236th overall): Yoenis Cespedes- This was a bit of a shot in the dark for me, but the Athletics seem convinced that he’s going to break camp with the team. If he can come close to any of the hype he built in the offseason, Cespedes will go about 100 picks earlier in 2013, making this a low risk, but great return selection for me.
25th round (245th overall): Chris Perez- For my final selection, I was debating between Bryce Harper and Perez, but ultimately selected Perez since I know he’ll be playing for the Indians the entire season. It’s nice to find a decent closer in the 25th round, but I’m still not sure about how much I like this pick. The nice thing about it is that usually your 25th rounder doesn’t mean a whole lot to your team, so if he starts off slowly this year, I can always drop him and hit the waiver wire.
That’s all for this draft breakdown. Hopefully this will help make your draft-day decisions a little bit easier for you.
When reality beats fantasy
If you ask most fantasy baseball experts who they have ranked as the number one player is for the 2012 season, they will almost unanimously agree that it’s Miguel Cabrera. For Detroit fans, having him on our team isn’t a fantasy, it’s a reality.
Despite being young, Cabrera is slowly putting himself in contention to have a Hall of Fame career, and having Prince Fielder protecting him in the lineup for a few years certainly won’t hurt his cause. Last year was the first time that Cabrera got any sort of protection from a quality hitter, and he benefited greatly from having Victor Martinez hitting behind him. With Fielder batting behind him this year, there’s nowhere to for pitchers to hide. Is it likely that Cabrera will be able to repeat his offensive numbers from last year? It seems unlikely, but it’s certainly not impossible.
Assuming Cabrera and Fielder can produce similarly to how they’ve done in their careers so far, the Tigers will find themselves with arguably one of the best lineups in baseball. Not only that, but imagine how much better it’ll get once a healthy Victor Martinez returns in 2013.
I’ve waited my whole life for the Tigers to be this good. Just please don’t pinch me…you know, just in case I’m just dreaming.
This or that
During the baseball offseason, I decided to come up with a different kind of fantasy baseball. If you’re like me, it’s not always easy to adjust your roster settings each and every day. With my new creation, you don’t have to worry about that ever again.
The premise of the league is really quite simple. I’ve gone through every Major League Baseball team, and have made various predictions for the majority of players on each team. To participate, all you have to do is pick one side or the other for every statistical prediction provided. For example, you might be asked: Over or under 35 home runs for Miguel Cabrera. Every prediction requires no minimum plate appearance or games pitched, so make your decisions carefully. All stats are rounded up to three numbers (ie. 3.65 ERA or .279 batting average). You get one point for every question you answer correctly, and the person with the most points at the end of the year wins (we will use the playoffs if needed for a tiebreaker)! This or That Baseball is free to join, and serves to simply serve as a tool to give baseball fans a chance to try to accurately predict the upcoming season.
I am thinking of offering a prize to whoever gets the most points, so send your final selections to me in a list format. If I don’t receive your list before the first pitch of opening day, unfortunately you will not be in the running for any prizes that I end up awarding, but you can still keep any bragging rights you end up earning.
If you’re interested, or would like more information, send me an e-mail to thisorthatbaseball@gmail.com and I’ll be happy to answer any questions you may have. The sooner you get in touch with me, the sooner I’ll be able to send you the official prediction list.

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